Compass Polls, our national public polling research series, make timely opinion research accessible. Browse our analyses, articles, and press releases.

Change Research tied for 3rd most accurate among 32 national polling organizations in AtlasIntel's 2026 midterm evaluation, finishing alongside the New York Times/Siena College and RMG Research. Our Compass Poll tracked the Democratic wave from a 7-point congressional lead in September to 11 points in October; the national count is now heading toward 13. Here is how the numbers held up across the ballot.
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Congratulations to the candidates and organizations Change Research worked with this cycle, who won more than 60 races on Election Night (with more being counted) as Democrats flipped the House and Senate in a historic midterm. From unseating a Texas governor to breaking a legislative supermajority in Ohio, our clients delivered some of the most consequential results in recent Democratic politics, and we were honored to play a part.
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A new Change Research poll for New Arc Collective finds a dramatic shift among Arab and Muslim voters in Michigan since 2024. Arab and Muslim voters also report high motivation to vote.
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As Election Day approaches, 32% of registered voters say they feel hopeful about this November’s elections, while 24% feel worried and 23% feel determined. Young voters and Independents skew more negative, with 38% of voters ages 18-34 saying they feel exhausted.
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A Change Research national survey of 2,045 registered voters, conducted August 8-13, 2026, finds high ratings for medical care quality, but low ratings for costs. More than half of voters say they or someone in their household skipped or delayed medical care in the past year due to cost.
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71% of voters say they've personally changed their shopping or eating habits due to recent food safety concerns, and 64% say they've noticed more recalls than usual this year. 75% of voters have little or no trust in the FDA, and 75% say the same of the EPA; 51% don't trust each agency at all. Democrats are more likely than Republicans to express zero trust in either agency.
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Ahead of the 2026 midterms, a national Change Research poll of 2,240 registered voters finds the generic Democratic House candidate leading the generic Republican by 11 points (50% to 39%). Voters trust Democratic candidates more on government corruption and inflation, the two issues most cited by Independents, with Republicans holding an edge only on immigration.
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74% of voters say the ongoing trade dispute with Canada will cause U.S. prices to rise, with 44% saying prices will go up "a lot." 58% call the dispute an unnecessary fight with a close ally. Among voters who have followed the dispute, 50% say Prime Minister Mark Carney is more effectively looking out for his country than President Trump at 37%.
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79% of voters are extremely or very concerned about K-12 schools and students underperforming in the US, with the level of worry steady across party lines. The agreement stops there: Democrats point to underfunding and teacher shortages as the primary causes, while Republicans cite curriculum drift and lowered standards.
Read moreInsights on public sentiment, electoral trends, and the findings that move people.