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States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys

States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys

Change Research/ CNBC Poll: October 29-November 1, 2020 Key TakeawaysBiden +10 nationally and leading in the 6 competitive battleground statesBiden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%) and in all six state battleground states -- six states Trump won in 2016 --...

Final Public Polling — Election 2020

Final Public Polling — Election 2020

Change Research—Final Public Poll Results 2020   In the final week of the 2020 general election, Change Research surveyed several races across the U.S., including Congressional District races, Senate races, and Presidential races.  See the results below.  By the...

2020 Presidential Vote Modeling Projections

2020 Presidential Vote Modeling Projections

Change Research is releasing our modeled 2020 Presidential vote estimates by state. This spreadsheet contains Change Research estimates for all 50 states. We included forecasts from FiveThirtyEight and The Economist as points of comparison.  While other 2020 election...

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The only pollster showing Andrew Gillum leading in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary

The only pollster showing Lori Lightfoot ahead in the Chicago mayoral primary

More accurate than the New York Times in 2018 common polls

The only pollster showing Andrew Gillum leading in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary

The only pollster showing Lori Lightfoot ahead in the Chicago mayoral primary

More accurate than the New York Times in 2018 common polls

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Candidate Feature

Lauren Underwood, U.S. Rep in IL-14

Lauren Underwood was a registered nurse and career public servant at the Department of Health and Human Services until she pulled off an upset against a 4-term Congressman. Change Research polling helped her campaign:

  • Identify issues that mattered most to undecided voters and the counties with the greatest number of undecided voters
  • Quickly concentrate efforts in the final weeks of the campaign

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