Case StudyCaucuses

Gained seats against the headwinds.

How Change Research helped the Ohio House Democratic Caucus pick up seats in a year when the odds were stacked against Democrats.

2.3%absolute error margin
9most competitive seats tracked
Ohio House Democratic Caucus
The Challenge

In 2024, Democrats running for the Ohio House faced a national environment working against them. The caucus had to defend incumbents, contest open seats, and pursue pickup opportunities all at once — and it needed to know, quickly, where its money and time would actually move outcomes.

High-stakes investment decisions can’t wait on slow research. Caucus leaders needed accurate reads they could trust, delivered fast enough to act on while there was still time to shift resources.

The Approach

Change Research served as a research partner to the Ohio House Democratic Caucus in 2024, tracking the caucus’s nine most competitive seats. That set spanned incumbent protection races, open seats, and pickup opportunities — the full range of decisions a caucus has to make at once.

The defining requirement was speed. Change Research delivered results in a matter of days, fast enough that Democratic leaders in Ohio could fold the findings into live investment decisions rather than reading them after the fact.

The Results
2.3%Absolute Error Margin, OH State House
9Competitive Seats Tracked
GainedHouse Seats in 2024
DaysTurnaround on Results

In a year with headwinds working against Democratic candidates, Ohio Democrats gained seats in the State House — one of the few chambers in the country to do so. Change Research’s polling carried an absolute error margin of 2.3 points in Ohio State House districts in 2024, and the rapid turnaround meant caucus leaders had the information they needed, when they needed it, to make the calls that mattered.

We trust Change Research when we need to move quickly and when accurate results are critical. We need accurate data in-hand to make high-stakes investment decisions. In 2024, we were one of the chambers in the country to pick up Democratic seats, and Change helped us have the information that we needed that helped make that happen.
Claire Krafka
Claire Krafka
Executive Director, Ohio House Democratic Caucus
Success

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