Latest Research
Our mission is to improve democracy by making public opinion insights more accessible. We often release public poll results so insights are available to anyone with an interest in regions, issues, causes or candidates. Below are highlights of our most recent learnings and analyses.
National Security Action & Defend American Democracy Impeachment Poll in Key GOP Districts
Poll in IL-13, MI-6, and NY-24 from November 26-December 1, 2019 (excluding Thanksgiving Day)Key Findings: On behalf of National Security Action and Defend American Democracy, Change Research polled likely voters in three Republican-held House battleground districts:...
The Data Story Behind Kamala Harris
More than 5,000 respondents in 60,000 completed surveys Change Research collected over the past twelve months selected Kamala Harris as their top choice for Democratic nomination for President, with Harris also consistently ranking high as a second choice for...
Californians on PG&E, Wildfires, and Shutoffs
Change Research California Poll: October 15-October 18, 2019 Key Takeaways: Californians have lost faith in large, Wall Street-driven publicly traded companies to put people first. The plurality of Californians (40%) want the basics -- light, power and public safety...
Warren, Sanders, and Biden lead the Democratic Primary in Wisconsin
Wisconsin Voters are evenly split on impeachment; Warren, Sanders, Biden lead the Democratic Primary in Wisconsin Change Research Wisconsin Poll: September 29-October 2, 2019 Key Takeaways: When asked whether they support “voting to impeach President Trump, while...
PollerCoaster 2020: Dems are Up by 1 Point Against Trump in Arizona
Crooked Media/Change Research Arizona Poll: September 27-28, 2019 Key Takeaways:The generic Democrat is up 47-46. However, if the 2020 election were to occur today, 42% of voters say they would definitely vote for Trump while 37% say they would definitely vote for the...
Battleground District Voters on Impeachment
Change Research Poll in 31 Trump-won, Democratic-held Congressional Districts: September 25-27, 2019 Change Research surveyed 1,094 likely voters in 31 Democratic-held House districts that Trump carried in 2016. The survey was conducted from September 25-27, after...
Change Research Accuracy
A Retrospective on the 2018 General Election In 2018, hundreds of candidates and organizations chose to work with Change Research because Change is fast, affordable, and accurate. We had a very successful 2018, conducting over 500 polls, working with winning...
The Trump Bump for Democrats: Measuring Turnout
Some say Conor Lamb won in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional district by moving right. Donald Trump says he is “like Trump” and “he sounds like a Republican to me.” The implication: Lamb was more like Trump, so Trump voters voted for him. The data say...
5 Ways Campaigns Can Use Data to Win in 2018
2018 is not a time for business as usual. Harry Enten at FiveThirtyEight opines the Democrats’ wave could turn into a flood. Sabato’s Crystal Ball reports on the growing sense among political observers... READ MORE
Election Day 2017: Change Research Called All Four NJ & VA Statewide Races Within 3 Points
In the week prior to the election, there were 17 public polls on the Virginia gubernatorial election. Change Research was one of only three polling firms to forecast the election within three points.READ MORE