Warren, Sanders, and Biden Lead the Democratic Primary Nationwide Following Debates

Warren, Sanders, and Biden Lead the Democratic Primary Nationwide Following Debates

Change Research National Post-Debate Poll: August 2-4, 2019

Key Takeaways: 

  • Elizabeth Warren (26%), Bernie Sanders (23%), and Joe Biden (23%) have the highest levels of support of Democratic primary nationwide following the second round of Democratic debates

  • Democratic primary voters were most impressed by the debate performances of Warren, Sanders, and Pete Buttigieg

  • Voters were least impressed by the performances of John Delaney, and Bill de Blasio.

  • Joe Biden was among those listed as most impressive (by 17% of respondents) and least impressive (by 19% of respondents).

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[TOPLINES] Change Research __ National P

[TOPLINES] Change Research __ National P

Sample and Methodology _ National Post-D

Sample and Methodology _ National Post-D

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Warren, Sanders, and Biden Lead the Democratic Primary Nationwide After the Second Debates

Elizabeth Warren holds a three point lead in the Democratic primary, polling at 26%. Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden tie for second place at 23%. They are followed by Pete Buttigieg (9%) and Kamala Harris (7%). Cory Booker, Beto O’Rourke, Andrew Yang, and Tulsi Gabbard follow with 2% each. All other candidates poll at 1% or less. 

[TRENDS] Change Research __ National.pdf

[TRENDS] Change Research __ National.pdf

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Compared to our pre-debate survey (conducted July 23-26, 2019), Harris’ support levels saw the biggest movement she lost 8 points after the debate, dropping from 15% to 7%. Other frontrunners Warren, Sanders, and Biden all gained support after their performance. Warren gained 4 points, moving from 22% to 26%; Sanders and Biden both gained 3 points, moving from 20% to 23%.

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When selecting up to three candidates that impressed them the most during the debates, 52% of Democratic Primary voters selected Warren, followed by Sanders (34%), and Buttigieg (19%).

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Voters were least impressed by Delaney (22%), Biden (19%), and de Blasio (17%). 

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Change Research surveyed 1,450 self-identified Democratic primary voters. The margin of error as traditionally calculated is  ± 3% for the full sample. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote.