Biden, Warren, and Sanders lead the Democratic Primary in South Carolina

Biden, Warren, and Sanders lead the Democratic Primary in South Carolina

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The Post and Courier/Change Research

South Carolina Poll: August 9-12, 2019

Key Takeaways: 

  • Joe Biden (36%), Elizabeth Warren (17%), and Bernie Sanders (16%) have the highest levels of support among Democratic voters in South Carolina. 

  • Biden leads among every age group, except 18-34 year-olds; 30% of those voters prefer Sanders and 18% support Biden.

  • Biden leads among black voters in South Carolina by 30 points with 45%. The race is closer among white voters: Warren leads with support from 26% of voters.

Change Research surveyed 1,209 registered voters, including 521 likely Democratic primary voters in South Carolina on questions related to the Democratic horse race, top issues, and more. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following the race to 2020. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings – inquire about purchasing the full poll

Biden, Warren, and Sanders Lead the Democratic Primary in South Carolina

Joe Biden has a 19-point lead in the Democratic primary in South Carolina with 36%, followed by Elizabeth Warren (17%) and Bernie Sanders (16%). They are followed by Kamala Harris (12%), Pete Buttigieg (5%), Cory Booker (4%), and Tulsi Gabbard (2%). All other candidates poll at 1% or less. 

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Sample and Methodology

Sample and Methodology _ South Carolina

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Biden leads among all age groups in South Carolina except 18-34 year-old voters; Sanders leads this group with 30%, followed by Warren (26%). Biden has a 39-point lead among voters 65 and older with 53%; Warren follows with 14%.

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Biden has a 30-point lead among black votes in South Carolina with 45%, followed by Sanders and Harris who tie for second place with 15%. The race is closer among white voters; Warren leads with 26%, followed by Biden (24%), and Sanders (16%). 

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Change Research surveyed 1,209 registered voters in South Carolina, including 521 self-identified Democratic primary voters. The margin of error as traditionally calculated is  ± 2.8% for the full sample and ± 4.3% for the Democratic primary voters. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, region, 2016 presidential vote, and self-reported social media use.