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2020 Presidential Vote Modeling Projections

2020 Presidential Vote Modeling Projections

Model Accuracy Post-election, Change Research has evaluated the accuracy of our forecasted presidential estimates by state. This spreadsheet contains Change Research's accuracy for all 50 states. We included forecast accuracy from FiveThirtyEight and The Economist as...

Trump’s Taxes: October 22nd-25th, 2020

Trump’s Taxes: October 22nd-25th, 2020

Change Research poll: October 22nd-25th, 2020; likely voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South...

PollerCoaster 2020: Election News

PollerCoaster 2020: Election News

Crooked Media/Change Research Poll of National Likely Voters: October 23-24, 2020Key Insights Biden leads 51-43. 57% say they’ve already voted. 5% of those who haven’t voted -- 2% of the entire electorate -- are undecided.  Voters are incredibly tuned in to news about...

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The only pollster showing Andrew Gillum leading in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary

The only pollster showing Lori Lightfoot ahead in the Chicago mayoral primary

More accurate than the New York Times in 2018 common polls

The only pollster showing Andrew Gillum leading in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary

The only pollster showing Lori Lightfoot ahead in the Chicago mayoral primary

More accurate than the New York Times in 2018 common polls

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Candidate Feature

Lauren Underwood, U.S. Rep in IL-14

Lauren Underwood was a registered nurse and career public servant at the Department of Health and Human Services until she pulled off an upset against a 4-term Congressman. Change Research polling helped her campaign:

  • Identify issues that mattered most to undecided voters and the counties with the greatest number of undecided voters
  • Quickly concentrate efforts in the final weeks of the campaign

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