Warren, Sanders, and Biden Lead the Democratic Primary in New Hampshire

Warren, Sanders, and Biden Lead the Democratic Primary in New Hampshire


The 603/Change Research New Hampshire Poll: July 6-9, 2019

Key Takeaways: 

  • Warren (22%), Sanders (20%), and Biden (19%) lead the Democratic primary in New Hampshire.

  • Sanders (39%) leads among 18-34 year-old voters, Warren leads among 35-49 and 50-64 year-olds, and Biden (26%) leads among voters older than 65. 

  • Warren (26%) leads among women Democratic primary voters; men prefer Sanders (25%). 

Change Research surveyed 2,264 registered voters, including 1,084 Democratic primary voters, in New Hampshire on questions related to the Democratic horse race, 2020 general election, the Trump Administration agenda, and more. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following New Hampshire. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings – inquire about purchasing the full poll. 

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Warren, Sanders, and Biden Lead the New Hampshire Democratic Primary 

Elizabeth Warren leads the New Hampshire Democratic primary, polling at 22%; Bernie Sanders follows closely behind at 20% and Joe Biden (19%) sits in third place. They are followed by Kamala Harris (15%), Pete Buttigieg (13%), and Tulsi Gabbard (3%). All other candidates poll at 1% or less. 

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Limited Poll Info

[TOPLINES] Change Research __ FL Survey

[TOPLINES] Change Research __ New Hampsh

Sample and Methodology _ FL Poll 6_16-17

Sample and Methodology _ New Hampshire 7

Full crosstabs and more available for purchase. Learn more here

Sanders has a 16-point lead among 18-34 year-olds, polling at 39%; Warren follows at 23%. Warren leads among Democratic primary voters aged 35-49 and 50-64. The race is close among 35-49 year-old voters: Warren leads at 23% but Biden (22%), and Sanders (20%) follow close behind. Biden leads among voters 65 and older at 26%, followed by Harris (20%). 

PNG NH Horserace.pngPNG NH age.png[TRENDS] Change Research __ New Hampshir

[TOPLINES] Change Research __ FL Survey

Warren leads among women Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire, polling at 26%; Biden (19%) and Sanders (18%) follow. Among men voters, Sanders leads at 25% and is followed by Biden (18%) and Warren (16%).

PNG NH Gender.png

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Change Research surveyed 2,264 registered voters in New Hampshire with a margin of error of  ± 2.0% for the full sample. That sample includes 1,084 Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error of ± 3.0% for the Democratic sample. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote.