Latest Research
Our mission is to improve democracy by making public opinion insights more accessible. We often release public poll results so insights are available to anyone with an interest in regions, issues, causes or candidates. Below are highlights of our most recent learnings and analyses.
2020 Presidential Vote Modeling Projections
Prior to the 2020 Presidential election, Change Research released our modeled 2020 Presidential vote estimates by state. The model had a statewide average error of 3.59 points, more accurate than poll-based models from The Economist and FiveThirtyEight. This...
Trump’s Taxes: October 22nd-25th, 2020
Change Research poll: October 22nd-25th, 2020; likely voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South...
PollerCoaster 2020: Election News
Crooked Media/Change Research Poll of National Likely Voters: October 23-24, 2020Key Insights Biden leads 51-43. 57% say they’ve already voted. 5% of those who haven’t voted -- 2% of the entire electorate -- are undecided. Voters are incredibly tuned in to news about...
Quantifying the Effects of COVID Spikes on the Presidential Election
Quantifying the Effects of COVID Spikes on the Presidential Election October 23rd, 2020 COVID is having a huge effect on our lives. And it’s having a huge effect on the presidential election. COVID is devastating American communities and upending our lives. We’ve...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on SCOTUS Hearings, Trump, and COVID-19
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: October 16-18, 2020 Key TakeawaysBiden +10 nationally and +4 in the competitive battleground among likely votersBiden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%), unchanged over the past two weeks. Biden also leads by 4 points across the six...
Where Young People Stand in 2020
Change Research Poll: October 3-7, 2020 Key TakeawaysA poll from Change Research of 935 registered likely 2020 voters 18-40 in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin from October 3-7, 2020...
CNBC States of Play Battleground Poll Tables, Oct 2-4, 2020
CNBC States of Play Poll TablesChange Research Poll: October 2-4 2020 Poll Tables Change Research conducted a poll of 2,688 likely voters October 2-4, 2020 across 6 competitive battleground states: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on Trump’s COVID-19 Diagnosis, Trump’s Taxes, and Trump’s Attacks on Biden
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: October 2-4, 2020 Key Takeaways This survey entered the field on Friday evening immediately after President Trump was admitted to Walter Reed Hospital with COVID-19. Biden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%) and by 5 points across...
Following Tuesday’s presidential debate, Joe Biden is handily winning the battle for undecided voters
Change Research Poll: September 29-October 2, 2020 Key TakeawaysA new survey of 2185 voters in six crucial swing states indicates that Joe Biden is handily winning the battle for undecided voters. Tuesday’s presidential debate has been the key driver of these recent...
Youth Voters Poll: September 2020
Youth Voters Poll Results September 2020 Change Research Poll: September 11-16, 2020 Poll Crosstabs Poll Memo Poll ToplinesA poll from Change Research of 860 registered likely 2020 voters 18-40 in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, New...