Biden and Sanders Lead the Democratic Primary in Florida, Buttigieg and Warren Tie for Third

Biden and Sanders Lead the Democratic Primary in Florida, Buttigieg and Warren Tie for Third

Change Research Florida Poll: June 16-17, 2019

Key Takeaways: 

  • Biden (33%), Sanders (20%), Buttigieg and Warren (15%) lead the Democratic primary in Florida

  • Biden leads in all age groups except for 18- to 34-year old voters

  • Biden has a strong lead among black and Latinx voters, but the race is closer among white voters

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Change Research surveyed 2,493 registered voters in Florida on questions related to the Democratic horse race, 2020 general elections, the Trump administration agenda, and more. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following Florida. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings – click here to inquire about purchasing the full poll. 

Biden, Sanders Lead the Florida Democratic Primary with Buttigieg and Warren Tied for Third

Joe Biden leads the Florida Democratic primary by 13 points, polling at 33% among likely Democratic primary voters. Biden is followed by Sanders (20%), Pete Buttigieg and Elizabeth Warren (15%), Kamala Harris (7%), Beto O’Rourke and Andrew Yang (3%), and Cory Booker and Amy Klobuchar (2%). All other candidates poll at 1% or less.

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Limited Poll Info

[TOPLINES] Change Research __ FL Survey

[TOPLINES] Change Research __ FL Survey

Sample and Methodology _ FL Poll 6_16-17

Sample and Methodology _ FL Poll 6_16-17

Full crosstabs and more available for purchase. Learn more here.

Biden has a strong lead in all age groups of likely Democratic primary voters except for 18- to 34-year olds; Sanders leads that age group at 38%, followed by Biden (16%) and Buttigieg (14%).

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Biden leads by 34 points among likely black Democratic primary voters in Florida, polling at 50% among that group ahead of Sanders in second place with 16%. Biden also leads with 39% among Florida’s Democratic Latinx voters. The race is closer among white Democrats: Biden still leads with 24%, but Sanders is four points behind at 20%, followed by Buttigieg and Warren (19%).

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Change Research surveyed 2,493 registered voters in Florida (1,130 likely 2020 Democratic primary voters and 1,063 likely 2020 Republican primary voters) from June 16-17, 2019. The survey was conducted online, using Change Research’s Bias Correct Engine. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote. The margin of error for the full sample, as traditionally calculated, is ± 2.0%.