Warren, Sanders, and Biden Lead the Democratic Primary Nationwide Ahead of Debates

Change Research National Pre-Debate Poll: July 23-26, 2019

Key Takeaways: 

  • Warren (22%), Sanders (20%), and Biden (20%) lead the Democratic primary nationwide ahead of the second round of Democratic debates.

  • Voters most want candidates to speak more about Medicare for All/the Affordable Care Act and climate change 

  • Voters most want candidates to speak less about the Mueller investigation and the threat from Iran. 

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Change Research surveyed 1,204 Democratic primary voters nationwide on questions related to the Democratic horse race, expectations for the second round of Democratic debates, and more. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following the race to 2020. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings – inquire about purchasing the full poll. 

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Change Research surveyed 1,204 Democratic primary voters nationwide on questions related to the Democratic horse race, expectations for the second round of Democratic debates, and more. The poll produced thousands of data points powering actionable insights for campaigns and organizations following the race to 2020. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings – inquire about purchasing the full poll

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[TOPLINES] Change Research __ National P

[TOPLINES] Change Research __ National P

Sample and Methodology _ National Pre-De

Sample and Methodology _ National Pre-De

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Voters Want Candidates to Speak More on Health Care and Climate Change, Less on Mueller and Iran

Survey respondents were asked to choose up to five issues that they would like to hear candidates speak on more. Medicare for All/the Affordable Care Act is the top issue voters want to hear more about, with 62% including it in their selections; climate change (57%), income inequality (27%), election security (27%), and family separation (25%) round out the top five. 

[TRENDS] Change Research __ National.pdf

[TRENDS] Change Research __ National.pdf

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When asked to choose up to five issues that they would like to hear candidates speak less about, 30% of voters chose the Mueller investigation. They also want to hear less about the threat from Iran (19%), universal basic income (19%), border crossing as a crime vs. civil offense (19%), and automation replacing jobs (17%). 

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2020 Change

You’ve seen the horse race results in the headlines – now Change Research’s 2020 Change polling series is offering candidates and causes an opportunity to access deeper insights for a strategic advantage.

2020 Change is a series of individual polls and aggregate polling memos offering you maximum flexibility in accessing the data that will be most impactful for your mission. 

The polls cover local issues far beyond the Democratic nomination, providing actionable insights for those working on ballot measures, issue advocacy campaigns, down-ballot races, or other legislative initiatives. 

You can buy a single poll, a series of polls from a specific state (ex. California polls only), or choose the combination that’s right for you. Purchase a poll or series of polls to gain access to surveys of large samples of Democratic primary voters across demographic groups and areas of the United States.

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Change Research surveyed 1,204 self-identified Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of  ± 2.8% for the full sample. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, and 2016 presidential vote.