Kathryn Garcia and Maya Wiley only trail Eric Adams by 4 points in the first choice ballot in the Democratic mayoral primary (19% to 23%). Garcia and Adams are in a dead heat in the final round in a ranked choice vote simulation. Garcia earns 51% of the vote in the ranked choice vote simulation thanks to her strong second- and third-choice rankings among those who rank Wiley, Yang, or Stringer first. This is according to a new poll of 822 likely voters in the Democratic primary for mayor in New York City conducted June 11-14 by Change Research on behalf of New Generation of Leadership.
![nyc-mayoral-primary-ranked-choice-voting-simulation](https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/xAEf3-nyc-mayoral-primary-ranked-choice-voting-simulation.png)
Garcia is the most popular candidate in the race. Opinions of Garcia are +33 net favorable (47% favorable, 14% unfavorable). By comparison, opinions of Adams and Wiley are +18 and +16 net favorable, respectively, and opinions of Yang are now 3 points net negative.
![candidate-favorability](https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/3UvJV-candidate-favorability.png)
Voters believe that Garcia is as qualified to handle a crisis as Adams (78% and 75% describes well, respectively), is as ready to handle the job of Mayor on Day 1 (76% describes well for each), and is as appealing to a broad range of New Yorkers (68% and 67% describes well, respectively). Compared to Garcia, voters are 20 points less likely to say Wiley is qualified to handle a crisis and 16 points less likely to believe Wiley is ready on Day 1. Wiley is also considered less electable and less appealing to a broad range of New Yorkers.
![candidate-attributes](https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/ibEpA-candidate-attributes.png)
On behalf of New Generation of Leadership, Change Research surveyed 822 likely voters in the Democratic primary for mayor in New York City from June 11-14, 2021. Respondents were recruited into an online survey instrument via Dynamic Online Sampling (targeted online advertisements) and via SMS from a voter file sample. Post-stratification was done on borough, gender, age, race/ethnicity, and education. Change Research is AAPOR certified.