Kathryn Garcia and Maya Wiley only trail Eric Adams by 4 points in the first choice ballot in the Democratic mayoral primary (19% to 23%). Garcia and Adams are in a dead heat in the final round in a ranked choice vote simulation. Garcia earns 51% of the vote in the ranked choice vote simulation thanks to her strong second- and third-choice rankings among those who rank Wiley, Yang, or Stringer first. This is according to a new poll of 822 likely voters in the Democratic primary for mayor in New York City conducted June 11-14 by Change Research on behalf of New Generation of Leadership.
Garcia is the most popular candidate in the race. Opinions of Garcia are +33 net favorable (47% favorable, 14% unfavorable). By comparison, opinions of Adams and Wiley are +18 and +16 net favorable, respectively, and opinions of Yang are now 3 points net negative.
Voters believe that Garcia is as qualified to handle a crisis as Adams (78% and 75% describes well, respectively), is as ready to handle the job of Mayor on Day 1 (76% describes well for each), and is as appealing to a broad range of New Yorkers (68% and 67% describes well, respectively). Compared to Garcia, voters are 20 points less likely to say Wiley is qualified to handle a crisis and 16 points less likely to believe Wiley is ready on Day 1. Wiley is also considered less electable and less appealing to a broad range of New Yorkers.
On behalf of New Generation of Leadership, Change Research surveyed 822 likely voters in the Democratic primary for mayor in New York City from June 11-14, 2021. Respondents were recruited into an online survey instrument via Dynamic Online Sampling (targeted online advertisements) and via SMS from a voter file sample. Post-stratification was done on borough, gender, age, race/ethnicity, and education. Change Research is AAPOR certified.