Biden, Warren, and Sanders Lead
the Democratic Primary in New Jersey
Change Research New Jersey Poll: August 16-20, 2019
Joe Biden (26%), Elizabeth Warren (23%), and Bernie Sanders (21%) have the highest levels of support among likely Democratic voters in New Jersey.
Biden has a 42-point lead among black primary voters with 55%. Warren leads among white voters with 29%, followed by Biden 22%.
Sanders leads among 18-34 and 35-49 year-old voters and Biden leads among 50-64 year-old and 65 and older voters. The race is closest among 35-49 year-old voters: Sanders (24%) has a one-point lead over Warren (23%).
US Senator from New Jersey and previous mayor of Newark, Cory Booker, has 5% of support among voters in his home state.
Look beyond the horse race:
purchase polls from our frequent polling series.
Change Research surveyed 1,176 likely primary voters in New Jersey, including 635 likely Democratic primary voters on questions related to the Democratic horse race, top issues, and more. This page contains a preview of the survey’s findings – inquire about purchasing the full poll.
Every poll includes:
an open-ended question analysis powered by Change Research’s natural language processing technology
an executive summary
Biden, Warren, and Sanders Lead the Democratic Primary in New Jersey
Joe Biden leads the Democratic primary in New Jersey with 26%. He is followed by Elizabeth Warren (23%) and Bernie Sanders (21%). Pete Buttigieg (12%), Kamala Harris (8%), Cory Booker (5%), and Beto O’Rourke (2%) follow. All other candidates poll at 1% or less.
Limited Poll Info
Sample and Methodology
Full crosstabs and more available for purchase. Learn more here.
Sanders leads among 18-34 and 35-49 year-old voters in New Jersey. He has a 27-point lead among 18-34 year-olds, with 44%, followed by Warren (17%). Among 35-49 year-olds, Sanders has the most support with 24%, closely followed by Warren with 23%. Biden leads among 50-64 year-olds and voters older than 65 with 32% and 36% respectively; Warren follows Biden with 26% among each group.
Biden holds a 42-point lead among black Democratic primary voters in New Jersey with 55%, followed by Sanders (13%) and Harris (11%). The race is closer among white voters; Warren has the most support with 29%, 7-points ahead of Biden (22%).
Change Research’s 2020 Change polling series is offering candidates and causes an opportunity to access deeper insights for a strategic advantage.
2020 Change is a series of individual polls and aggregate polling memos.
The polls cover local issues far beyond the Democratic nomination, providing actionable insights for those working on ballot measures, issue advocacy campaigns, down-ballot races, or other legislative initiatives.
You can buy a single poll, a series of polls from a specific state (e.g., California polls only), or choose the combination that’s right for you. Purchase a poll or series of polls to gain access to surveys of large samples of Democratic primary voters across demographic groups and areas of the United States.
Learn more about purchasing polls.
Change Research surveyed 1,176 likely primary voters, including 635 self-identified Democratic primary voters. The margin of error as traditionally calculated is ± 2.9% for the full sample and ±3.9% for Democratic voters. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. The Bias Correct Engine dynamically delivers large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. Post-stratification was done on age, gender, ethnicity, region, 2016 primary and presidential vote, and self-reported social media use.