Latest Research
Our mission is to improve democracy by making public opinion insights more accessible. We often release public poll results so insights are available to anyone with an interest in regions, issues, causes or candidates. Below are highlights of our most recent learnings and analyses.
New York City Mayor’s Race New Democratic Primary Poll
Kathryn Garcia and Maya Wiley only trail Eric Adams by 4 points in the first choice ballot in the Democratic mayoral primary (19% to 23%). Garcia and Adams are in a dead heat in the final round in a ranked choice vote simulation. Garcia earns 51% of the vote in the...
Change Research/Crooked Media Pollercoaster: Arizona Poll on Democracy Reforms
Crooked Media/Change Research Poll of 1,113 Registered Voters in Arizona: March 17-20, 2021 KEY INSIGHTS Overall, the For The People Act is popular - although support drops when voters become aware it’s a Democratic bill. The bill starts out with 57% of Arizonans...
Change Research’s 2020 Accuracy Report
In 2020 poll results were imperfect. Yet again, in some of the most important states and races polls were way off. As can be expected, some pollsters did better than others, some races had more accurate polls than others, and some regions seemed easier to predict. ...
Change Research/Crooked Media Pollercoaster: Biden’s First 100 Days
Crooked Media/Change Research National Poll of Registered Voters: January 22-23, 2021KEY INSIGHTS Voters want COVID-19 to literally be the number 1, 2, and 3 priorities for the Biden administration. Voters’ clear top priorities are controlling the virus, distributing...
Majority Support for Impeachment After Trump-Inspired Insurrection Attempt
Change Research National Poll: January 7-8, 2021 Key Takeaways Change Research surveyed 2020 voters nationally to understand their reaction to the tragic events at the Capitol and how lawmakers may respond. Below are the key findings. 89% disapprove of those who...
Trump Voters Post-Election Poll
Change Research/CNBC poll: November 18-21, 2020 of 2020 Trump voters nationally Reaction to the election & transition The lack of recognition of the legitimacy of the election among Trump voters is dramatic and devastating for our democracy. There is little desire...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: October 29-November 1, 2020 Key Takeaways Biden +10 nationally and leading in the 6 competitive battleground states Biden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%) and in all six state battleground states -- six states Trump won...
Final Public Polling — Election 2020
Change Research—Final Public Poll Results 2020 In the final week of the 2020 general election, Change Research surveyed several races across the U.S., including Congressional District races, Senate races, and Presidential races. See the results below. By the...
2020 Presidential Vote Modeling Projections
Prior to the 2020 Presidential election, Change Research released our modeled 2020 Presidential vote estimates by state. The model had a statewide average error of 3.59 points, more accurate than poll-based models from The Economist and FiveThirtyEight. This...
Trump’s Taxes: October 22nd-25th, 2020
Change Research poll: October 22nd-25th, 2020; likely voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South...