Ilhan for Congress: Primary Results

Change Research, a national research firm that has conducted more than 2,000 polls of over 3 million people since 2017, surveyed likely Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) primary election voters in Minnesota’s 5th congressional district, May 27-June 3, 2022. A total of 754 likely voters were interviewed online, and the survey has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points. Post-stratification weighting was performed on age, race/ethnicity, sex, education, and vote choice history. Weighting parameters reflected the composition of likely 2022 DFL primary election voters, based on probabilistic turnout scores provided by Deck. (You can find full methodology details and reported questions here.)

Key Findings 

Representative Ilhan Omar is popular (net favorability +38), universally known among likely voters (99% name ID), and has 70% job approval.

In the race for the DFL nomination for Minnesota’s 5th congressional district, Rep. Omar leads her relatively well-known opponent Don Samuels (63% name ID) by 39 points. 60% of likely DFL primary voters say they will vote for Rep. Omar, 21% for Don Samuels, 1% for Khanh Tran. 17% are undecided.

ilhan omar 60 points, don samuels 21, tran 1, not sure 17