Polling for State Legislative Caucuses
Fast, accurate, affordable polling to help you win and defend seats
Two Ways for Caucuses to Win with Change Research
Scaled Tracking Polls
Change Research works alongside your primary pollster to track competitive races at scale and make sure every hard-earned hour and dollar is going to the right districts:
- Track dozens of districts at once
- Starting at $6,000 per district
- Get results within days
Full-Service Research Partner
Change Research serves as your primary pollster with comprehensive strategic research for your entire caucus:
- Statewide and battleground polls
- Message and creative testing
- Qualitative research
- Custom targeting audiences
- Strategic consulting to maximize every vote
- Scaled tracking polls
Why Caucuses Choose Change Research
Fast
Get in the field immediately and get results in 3-5 days
Accurate
Our State Legislative polls were accurate within 1.5 points in 2022 and 2024.*
Affordable
Polling starts at $6,000 per district
Scalable
We can help you track dozens districts simultaneously
Local
We’re able to poll in small geographies – such as State House districts – that others cannot reach
Experienced
We’ve conducted over 1,000 state legislative polls all across the country, and we’ve polled in all 50 states
How does it all work? Learn more about our proprietary Dynamic Online Sampling methodology here.
* Accuracy refers to the average absolute error in estimating the winner’s vote share across 80 State Legislative polls in the last 30 days of the 2022 and 2024 elections.
Trusted by Leading Caucuses and Organizations Nationwide
Ohio House Democratic Caucus
In 2024, Change Research tracked the Caucus’s nine most competitive seats, including incumbent protection races, open seats, and pickup opportunities. Change Research was able to provide rapid results in a matter of days that Democratic leaders in Ohio used to inform decisions. In a year with headwinds working against Democratic candidates, Ohio Democrats were able to gain seats in the House.
“We trust Change Research when we need to move quickly and when accurate results are critical. In 2024, we were one of the chambers in the country to pick up Democratic seats, and Change helped us have the information that we needed that helped make that happen.”
– Claire Krafka, Executive Director, Ohio House Democratic Caucus
Pennsylvania House Democratic Campaign Committee
In 2022, Change Research conducted 34 polls across State House races for the Pennsylvania House Democratic Caucus. Change pollsters worked with PAHDCC staff to identify the policies and messages that were most salient and most persuasive to voters and the most winnable districts so that PAHDCC leaders could allocate resources appropriately. In the end, our polling contributed to Democrats’ flip of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives, gaining control of the chamber for the first time in a decade.
National Democratic Redistricting Committee
Throughout 2020, Change Research conducted 157 polls across state legislative districts in 9 target states, including 38 State Senate districts and 119 State House districts. In 2022, Change Research renewed its research partnership with the NDRC in six states, and built two statewide models and conducted 3 statewide polls, 22 House district polls, and 15 Senate district polls.
“Change Research has given the NDRC an opportunity to poll large waves of concurrent polls in a wide variety of state legislative districts throughout the country, at an affordable rate.”
– Claire Low, Targeting and Analytics Director, NDRC
House Majority PAC
In 2022, contrary to the “red wave” narrative dominating the coverage at the time, we found Wiley Nickel in North Carolina’s 13th, Susan Wild in Pennsylvania’s 7th, Yadira Caraveo in Colorado’s 8th, Pat Ryan in New York’s 18th, and Marie Gluesenkamp Pérez in Washington’s 3rd all within two to four points of their Republican opponents. Further investments by HMP allowed all of them to erase these deficits and go on to win.
“Our internal numbers were actually really accurate. The problem was that nobody dared to believe them.”
– Ali Lapp, President, House Majority PAC (New York Times, 12/31/2022)