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Our mission is to improve democracy by making public opinion insights more accessible. We often release public poll results so insights are available to anyone with an interest in regions, issues, causes, or candidates. Below are highlights of our most recent learnings and analyses.
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Trump Voters Post-Election Poll
Change Research/CNBC poll: November 18-21, 2020 of 2020 Trump voters nationally Reaction to the election & transition The lack of recognition of the legitimacy of the election among Trump voters is dramatic and devastating for our democracy. There is little desire...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: October 29-November 1, 2020 Key Takeaways Biden +10 nationally and leading in the 6 competitive battleground states Biden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%) and in all six state battleground states -- six states Trump won...
Final Public Polling — Election 2020
Change Research—Final Public Poll Results 2020 In the final week of the 2020 general election, Change Research surveyed several races across the U.S., including Congressional District races, Senate races, and Presidential races. See the results below. By the...
2020 Presidential Vote Modeling Projections
Prior to the 2020 Presidential election, Change Research released our modeled 2020 Presidential vote estimates by state. The model had a statewide average error of 3.59 points, more accurate than poll-based models from The Economist and FiveThirtyEight. This...
Trump’s Taxes: October 22nd-25th, 2020
Change Research poll: October 22nd-25th, 2020; likely voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South...
PollerCoaster 2020: Election News
Crooked Media/Change Research Poll of National Likely Voters: October 23-24, 2020Key Insights Biden leads 51-43. 57% say they’ve already voted. 5% of those who haven’t voted -- 2% of the entire electorate -- are undecided. Voters are incredibly tuned in to news about...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on SCOTUS Hearings, Trump, and COVID-19
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: October 16-18, 2020 Key TakeawaysBiden +10 nationally and +4 in the competitive battleground among likely votersBiden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%), unchanged over the past two weeks. Biden also leads by 4 points across the six...
Where Young People Stand in 2020
Change Research Poll: October 3-7, 2020 Key TakeawaysA poll from Change Research of 935 registered likely 2020 voters 18-40 in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Texas, and Wisconsin from October 3-7, 2020...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on Trump’s COVID-19 Diagnosis, Trump’s Taxes, and Trump’s Attacks on Biden
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: October 2-4, 2020 Key Takeaways This survey entered the field on Friday evening immediately after President Trump was admitted to Walter Reed Hospital with COVID-19. Biden leads by 10 points nationally (52% to 42%) and by 5 points across...
Following Tuesday’s presidential debate, Joe Biden is handily winning the battle for undecided voters
Change Research Poll: September 29-October 2, 2020 Key TakeawaysA new survey of 2185 voters in six crucial swing states indicates that Joe Biden is handily winning the battle for undecided voters. Tuesday’s presidential debate has been the key driver of these recent...
Telling the Right Story: Change Research, Accuracy, and Choosing A Pollster Who Can Help You Win
Our co-founder and CEO Mike Greenfield explains how Change Research sees the role of a pollster. “Wow, we’re ahead by four points?” the candidate said. “That’s great news. So what do we do now?” This was the first poll Change Research had ever run for a candidate for...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on the Mail-in Election, COVID-19 and the Supreme Court
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: September 18-20, 2020 Key Takeaways Biden now leads by 9 points nationally (51% to 42%), and maintains his advantage across six battleground states. This survey entered the field on Friday evening as voters were informed of the death of...
Campaign Smarter: 3 Strategies For Winning Tight Races in 2020
How forward-thinking campaigns can outsmart their opponents in the final weeks of this cycle. Advice and strategies that you still have time to execute. We’re taking a moment to share our analysis on ways forward-thinking campaigns can outsmart their opponents in the...
PollerCoaster 2020: New & Infrequent Voters
Crooked Media/Change Research Poll of New & Infrequent Voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin: September 9-13, 2020Key Insights Despite the spotty voting records of the voters we surveyed, they’re highly engaged: 84% say...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on the Conventions & Protests
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: September 4-6, 2020 Key Takeaways Biden leads by 6 points nationally (49 Biden to 43 Trump) and in every battleground state (+4 in Arizona, +3 in Florida, +6 in Michigan, +2 in North Carolina, +4 in Pennsylvania, +6 in Wisconsin) Of those...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on the DNC, COVID-19, schools, and the economy
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: August 21-23, 2020 Key Takeaways Biden leads 51% to 43% nationally and 49% to 46% in the battleground, including a lead in all 6 states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. In the battleground, serious...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on COVID-19, the economy, and schools
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: August 7-9, 2020 Key Takeaways Biden leads 50% to 44% in the national poll and by 4 points across the 6 state battleground, including leads in every battleground state except North Carolina. Just 46% approve of Trump’s job performance in...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on COVID-19, Vaccines, and Economic Relief
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: July 26-26, 2020 The ballot tightens but large majorities still disapprove of Trump’s COVID response Biden leads by 9 points in the national ballot and by 3 points in the battleground (48% to 45%). While the battleground ballot has...
States of Play: Battleground & National Likely Voter Surveys on COVID-19, the Economy
Change Research/ CNBC Poll: July 10-12, 2020 Key Takeaways Biden leads Trump by 10 points among likely voters nationally, and by 6 points in the battleground, steady over the past two weeks. Majorities disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, helping your...
Californians Overwhelmingly Want Action on Oil Hazards, Just Transition
A new poll finds that Californians overwhelmingly favor more action from their elected officials to protect them from the negative health impacts of oil operations. The poll of 1,606 adults, conducted by Change Research, found extremely high support for 2,500 foot...
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